Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000202 0.000226 0.000252 0.000281 0.000315 0.000350 0.000392
2024-12-22 0.000167 0.000200 0.000236 0.000281 0.000335 0.000397 0.000475
2024-12-29 0.000142 0.000179 0.000224 0.000282 0.000354 0.000443 0.000560
2025-01-05 0.000121 0.000161 0.000210 0.000278 0.000367 0.000481 0.000639
2025-01-12 0.000106 0.000147 0.000201 0.000277 0.000383 0.000525 0.000729
2025-01-19 0.000095 0.000137 0.000194 0.000279 0.000401 0.000571 0.000827
2025-01-26 0.000084 0.000126 0.000185 0.000275 0.000411 0.000606 0.000911
2025-02-02 0.000079 0.000123 0.000187 0.000288 0.000444 0.000678 0.001055
2025-02-09 0.000073 0.000117 0.000183 0.000292 0.000465 0.000733 0.001179
2025-02-16 0.000068 0.000111 0.000180 0.000295 0.000485 0.000786 0.001304
2025-02-23 0.000062 0.000105 0.000174 0.000294 0.000498 0.000830 0.001417
2025-03-02 0.000056 0.000098 0.000167 0.000289 0.000502 0.000859 0.001509
2025-03-09 0.000052 0.000092 0.000162 0.000288 0.000515 0.000907 0.001640
2025-03-16 0.000048 0.000088 0.000158 0.000289 0.000531 0.000961 0.001788
2025-03-23 0.000044 0.000083 0.000154 0.000290 0.000546 0.001015 0.001942
2025-03-30 0.000040 0.000078 0.000148 0.000286 0.000554 0.001055 0.002072
2025-04-06 0.000038 0.000075 0.000144 0.000286 0.000567 0.001108 0.002234
2025-04-13 0.000035 0.000072 0.000142 0.000288 0.000585 0.001170 0.002419
2025-04-20 0.000032 0.000067 0.000137 0.000284 0.000591 0.001210 0.002563
2025-04-27 0.000032 0.000067 0.000140 0.000296 0.000632 0.001323 0.002870
2025-05-04 0.000030 0.000065 0.000139 0.000301 0.000656 0.001403 0.003115
2025-05-11 0.000029 0.000063 0.000137 0.000304 0.000677 0.001480 0.003360
2025-05-18 0.000027 0.000061 0.000134 0.000303 0.000690 0.001539 0.003573